Prediction: The Switch will become the best selling console yet!

[zorg1000]

trent44 said:

zorg1000 said:

I agree completely.

Switch, like every previous Nintendo platform, will not be dependant on the support of AAA multiplats.

The type of 3rd party support that Switch currently gets and will continue to get are small-medium sized indie games, Japanese games, kid/family games & previous gen ports/remasters.

These type of games do not require massive budgets or a ton of power so Nintendo really is not at a huge risk of losing this type of support.

Basically any AAA multiplats that do come to Switch are just an added bonus.

 

 

I do expect Switch to have a successor out by 2025 but it wont be because Switch is outdated, it will be because it has reached market saturation and the need for a new revenue stream.

Ah I see.

That will all come down to how Nintendo manages said revisions, price cuts, first party software, etc. for the console to have a long tail with healthy enough revenue in those years. As well as, all the diversifying they have been putting into motion for many years now (Amiibo, Merchandise, Theme Parks, Mobile Games, Movie Licensing, etc.) finally being in full swing also being a healthy revenue stream.

Everything in place so far seems to be able to support the Nintendo Switch having a much longer cycle.

It will be all down to execution and choice on Nintendo's part.

Absolutely and who knows, maybe Nintendo will ditch the idea of traditional generations altogether and just continue making upgraded versions every few years.

Kinda a middle ground between the 5-7 year console cycle and the 1-2 year cycle of phones/tablets so a new upgrade every 3-4 years.

Something like

Switch-2017

Switch 2-2021

Switch 3-2025

 

All Switch 2 games are compatible with Switch 1. All Switch 3 games are compatible with Switch 2 but not Switch 1.

 

I guess it would be similar to PS4/XBO to Pro/X but instead of a PS5/XB4 they drop support for the original models, make Pro/X the standard edition and release Pro+/XX in the next 3 or so years.