I expected a Tbone thread, now I'm disappointed
Like Nemo pointed out, DS and PS2 had some special ciconstances which helped them boost sales above what they could normally achieve.
However, I think the Switch has some similar chances:
- It's hybrid design makes it possible to play everywhere
- Similar to handhelds, some households will have several units ( though less than a pure handheld device)
- PS4/XBO have probably reached their limit saleswise, and Switch will start stealing players
- Innovative ideas like labo keep the general public and parents interested into the Switch
- Not having 2 dedicated devices means higher output of games
- Unlike almost any Nintendo home console after the SNES, the Switch is getting a large third party library, and unlike the Wii many more "core" games in the third party lineup
- From what we know, down the line, there will be no other choice than the Switch for a handheld gaming device, as Vita and 3DS are slowly getting phased out in the next years.
It might not be enough to reach and beat PS2/DS, but I'm positive it can beat PS1/Wii, my guess is some 120-140M
The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing
The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/
Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/