Predict Switch Sales and Factors in Switch Sales in 2018 (Thoughts & Poll Included)

[nemo37]

peachbuggy said:

nemo37 said:

According to Nowinstock, Japan has pretty much been out of Switch's since around January 12th. I am curious though whether a new shipment would be potentially damaged (it will not move off of shelves quickly due to decreasing demand) because of the release of MonHun on PS4; afterall PS4 appears to be out of stock to based on the information from NowinStock so there has been a major uptick in demand there (potentially at the cost of Switch?). Am I overestimating the negative impact the exclusivity of that game on a single home console will have on Switch's momentum and hardware sales?

I think you are being a bit pessimistic tbh. If someone wants a switch, they will likely wait until they can procure one. Of course there may be some impulse buys of MH which may affect Switch sales but only temporarily. Am sure things will return to "normal"  in 1 or 2 weeks. There has been much ado in the past on the media create threads about whether Switch was cannibalising PS4 sales. Nearly all of the PS fans insisted it wasn't. Therefore it works both ways. The consensus was that they are not competing directly, or there is, at least only a small overlap.

I see. NPD's Mat Piscatella, stated something to the same effect about the audiences not overlapping in a major way and Switch largely addressing a different segment of the market (at least in the US; and he should know since he access to all market figures). All of this is really making me believe that the video game industry as a whole is much bigger than I actually believed it was.