Predict Switch Sales and Factors in Switch Sales in 2018 (Thoughts & Poll Included)

[peachbuggy]

nemo37 said:

Bofferbrauer2 said:
17-22M seems about what to expect

The question also is how much can Nintendo really produce? Japan is still out of Switches, Amazon US too. If this doesn't improve soon then it won't sell much more then 16-17M because it simply can't due to lack of stock.

According to Nowinstock, Japan has pretty much been out of Switch's since around January 12th. I am curious though whether a new shipment would be potentially damaged (it will not move off of shelves quickly due to decreasing demand) because of the release of MonHun on PS4; afterall PS4 appears to be out of stock to based on the information from NowinStock so there has been a major uptick in demand there (potentially at the cost of Switch?). Am I overestimating the negative impact the exclusivity of that game on a single home console will have on Switch's momentum and hardware sales?

I think you are being a bit pessimistic tbh. If someone wants a switch, they will likely wait until they can procure one. Of course there may be some impulse buys of MH which may affect Switch sales but only temporarily. Am sure things will return to "normal"  in 1 or 2 weeks. There has been much ado in the past on the media create threads about whether Switch was cannibalising PS4 sales. Nearly all of the PS fans insisted it wasn't. Therefore it works both ways. The consensus was that they are not competing directly, or there is, at least only a small overlap.