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As Nintendo are now, I don't think they'll be able to reach 100M units with the Switch once we take into account past history ...

There was only one instance where a portable Nintendo system has sold over 100M units (not counting GB and GBC combined) and that was the DS. 3DS had far more to work with in terms of bigger notable software than GBA did but it will still fail to outsell the GBA. Once we factor in pricing, demographics, lineup and sales performance the Switch is remarkably very similar to the 3DS ...

People like to overstate Nintendo's advantages with a focus unified platform (not much of an advantage if most of their biggest games for the first half of this year are just ports) and having all of the biggest franchises with it ... (the Switch barely scraped past the 3DS even after releasing half of their biggest franchises)

It's hard to see the Switch being able to sell 100M units when it doesn't have the advantage in pricing, demographics and a stable software lineup strength compared to the competition ...