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DonFerrari said:
xMetroid said:

I never specified that. It will probably not have legs as strong but Switch will definetly peak higher once they start getting Pokémon and animal crossing out. Switch will finish around 15 millions first year. It would be incredibly surprising if it can't push 6 millions more with significant stock, real deals and bundles and massive system seller. They won't ship 25-30 millions switchs next FY for nothing, and it will maybe not be the peak of the console. If it follows a handheld trend of sales, it will have good legs with price cut and etc.

 

I also don't see Nintendo dropping the system like the Wii (which was hated abd families played less, there was no point supporting it hardcore.) Assuming people don't get over it, Nintendo having only 1 system, if it sells great, they will make it last the longer time possible cause they won't have a backup if the next system, most likely hybrid, fails.

Some swear Nintendo will produce 25 to ship 20 (Nintendo target) and before believed the rumor that they would produce 30 to ship 25, do you also fall into that?

Well they said they want to sell more than 20 million units during next FY. They have been talking about consumers for their numbers lately, it's not an investor meeting which they have to talk about the numbers sold to retailers...

And if they want to sell 20+ millions (as of before the holidays,  it probably changed again with their amazing sales during December), yes I believe the rumour is probably true. If it's not, they still expected to sell 20+ millions like 4 months before the period and by that time the sales of the Switch have just been surprising everyone yet again. Their goal is probably up again, maybe now they want to sell 25 millions for the next FY, so even if the rumour is false, we are literally in the same area.

 

And if it is sold through consumers, then a 20-25 million goal would mean around 30 millions shipped, so again...