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Ryng_Tolu said:
Barkley said:

Well VGC's figures are now going to be 13m tops, but we can compare them to official and media create to check how their tracking is in Japan/USA.

Japan - 3.2m (December 24th. Media Create) 

USA - "Over 4.8m" (First 10 months, January 3rd-ish?, Nintendo)

Now for VGC.

Japan - 3.19m (December 23rd) seems spot on with Media Create

USA - 4.7m (December 23rd), With another week, or slightly over a week, to go it actually looks like VGC is overtracking USA a little bit.

So there doesn't seem to be a reason to believe VGC is undertracking the Switch by any substantial degree, so now the Switch should end around 12.4-12.8m

So no 13.5m wasn't the minimum, my range was seemingly too high. I couldn't find the 25% figure you used, but I think the problem was taking that source too literally, a deviation of a single % would be a massive difference.

So only because US/JP looks "right" it can't be undertracked in the rest of the world?

Anyway, guess what, Nintendo france has confirmed that Switch outsold Wii U worldwide. 

https://www.lesnumeriques.com/loisirs/switch-retrogaming-super-mario-zelda-l-incroyable-come-back-nintendo-a3491.html

When you will see Switch over 14 million shipped at worst, you'll see why VGC clearly undertrack Switch.

Yeah don't worry VGC tracking is fine with France too, 896k as of 23rd december from VGC, 911k in 2017 official.

Like I said 13.5m isn't the minimum, there's no way VGC is undertracking by at least 700k. It'd be nice if you'd admit when you're wrong once in a while, I'm having flashbacks to the 20m Pokemon Moon/Sun sales prediction.