The Michael Pachter Prediction Tracker Thread

[Bofferbrauer2]

Miguel_Zorro said:

Outstanding Predictions:

Several made December 20th, 2016 at http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articles/2016-12-20-what-to-expect-in-the-games-biz-for-2017

1. PS4 Price to $199 within 2017 - Verdict: Likely It happened for BF before selling out

2. No Rockstar games other than Red Dead Redemption in 2017 - Verdict: Trending Correct Seems correct to me unless I missed something

3. Call of Duty returns to glory (tough to measure) Better than the previous one it seems at least.

4. Switch demand will be high.  The Switch will be sold out through September.  I believe this prediction as based on a price of $249. Verdict: Trending Correct Even at 299$ it sold very well and still sold out in Japan, but it became more widely available before September in the west

5. XBox Scorpio will be $399 499$, so incorrect

6. New Elder Scrolls in 2017 - Verdict: Trending Incorrect Just rehashes of Skyrim in portable and VR

7. No New Half Life game in 2017 - Verdict: Trending Correct Now that one was a freebie

8. "Microsoft will continue to support their systems, including Scorpio, with first party games"
http://gamingbolt.com/scalebound-cancellation-is-unfortunate-xbox-scorpio-will-see-lot-of-first-and-third-party-support-pachter - Verdict: Trending Poorly Technically true, but by far and large not enough to push the system enough

Just checked his predictions, and they where pretty solid for this year. 5 and 6 were wrong, but the others were all more or less correct.