This certainly confirms a direct in the next two weeks (most likely, within the next few days): https://www.nintendo.co.jp/corporate/direct_links/
Though, I guess, that isn't anything new.
Bet with PeH:
I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.
Bet with WagnerPaiva:
I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.