| Lonely_Dolphin said: Pretty extreme to believe record amounts of people are blindly buying the Switch. Maybe at launch there's the dedicated fanbase buying just cause it's Nintendo, but no way through out the whole year. If blind buyers were that numerous then Wii U should've sold this much year 1 and 3DS too before it's pricecut. I especially don't like that way of thinking as it undermines Nintendo's hard work n effort, that Switch isn't selling well because of it's great concept, games, and marketing, but eh to each their own! Sure you can always just wait until the last year of a system to make sure you have the best idea of how it's going to turn out, but that's boring lol. The Switch has had non-holiday/non-launch weeks already, and significant new games releasing frequently should be the norm. Of course the final LTD number only becomes more clear the closer we get to it, but there's no harm making predictions at any point, especially the immediate future. Switch sold as much as 3DS but without a massive value increase, and Switch had supply constraints while 3DS did not, these reasons alone don't guarantee Switch ltd > 3DS ltd, but it does mean Switch is in a better position for long term success going into it's 2nd year compared to 3DS. |
You need to take into account that the NS is a hybrid. So its not only the home console nintendo buyers (wiiU veterans) we are talking about here. But also the mobile console nintendo buyers (3DS veterans) we are talking about. The NS is outperforming the PS4 in japan, a region that we know is heavily biased towards mobile gaming now; that confirms that the switch is selling on its merits of being a handheld at least somewhere.
So the question is this, how many nintendo die hards that would buy a wiiU or a 3DS do you think is out there? Surely now that 10M figure I put out there seems reasonable now.
I am also not trying to undermine anything, all i am saying is that we wait and see its baseline this year (not till the end of its life cycle). Cause that will give a clear indication of how its performing and at such better, solid predictions can be made. A console selling 10M in a year doesn't mean its suddenly gonna hit 100M. Jut look at the dreamcast.
