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Lonely_Dolphin on 07 January 2018
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fatslob-:O said:
RolStoppable said:

You have been beating that drum for a while and as a result you have been proven to be blatantly wrong repeatedly.

The only region where Switch is trailing the 3DS is Japan where Switch sales are still capped by supply. That's something to think about.

Unfortunately for you, the Switch stopped having supply issues in Japan when retailers/merchants started selling new Switch units near it's reference price towards the end of last year ... 

3DS - ~9.5M units, December 10th 2011 (VGC)

Switch - ~10M units, December 10th 2017 (Nintendo)

The gap between Switch and 3DS could as little as 500K and those numbers don't lie whether you like it or not ... 

Lonely_Dolphin said:

So you believe Switch sales in 2018 wont just be flat, but be down yoy? That's the only way 3DS could outpace it in the long run. Switch was supply constrained for a significant amount of time in 2017, that to me all but guarantees growth, but we'll see!

Did I say that the Switch will be down YoY ? 3DS was also up YoY even if only slightly ... 

Shortages = immediate potential BTW and the Switch has hardly has much of it ... 

3DS sold roughly the same in it's 2nd year as it did in it's 1st, around 13m, and the Switch is also looking to sell that amount, so for the Switch to suddenly fall behind the 3DS means the Switch has to sell worse in 2018 than it did in 2017.

I'd say it means potential to do better, for a example the Switch could only sell 400k or so some months because that's all there was, but now in those same months this year it can possibly sell better as the sales ceiling isn't capped.