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Alkibiádēs said:

Why are you assuming the Switch will follow the same sales trajectory as the 3DS?

Because it's quite obvious it won't. 3DS couldn't even sell at $250, let alone $300. 

Switch is also getting a lot more games than the 3DS got. Games sell more consoles. 

Just compare the 3DS in 2011  on metacritic with the Switch's 2017. Huge difference. 

I don't think they will have the "same" trajectory when there is variation in game release schedule and hardware pricing but given that both Switch and 3DS had a similar set of titles so far in their lifetime and launch (actually the Nintendo had one more month to work with the Switch beyond their domestic territory) it would not be prudent to think that a similar improvement would apply ... 

Also, why do you assume that the Switch will reach as low of a price point as the 3DS did ?