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fatslob-:O said:
CGI-Quality said:

The peak will happen when the Slim officially drops to $199 sometime this year. This in addition to big titles like God of War and Spider-Man to ensure it remains up YoY.

As for the Switch, it will remain behind worldwide, but will overtake the PS4 in both Japan and the US when all is said and done.

Nah, I wouldn't count out PS4 coming on top in the US either ... 

In a similar time period that both 3DS (~3.8M units) and Switch (~4.8M units) performed in the US, the Switch is roughly a 25% improvement. If we translated that improvement to lifetime sales in North America, the Switch would come up with a total of around ~28M units and Nintendo platforms are notorious for starting out strong from the gate while Sony platforms are consistent performers over a prolonged duration ... 

In spite of the fact that PS4 managed to outsell the 3DS in North America in less 4 years while the latter was still on the market are you truly certain that the Switch will come out on top despite that you think PS4 will be up YoY for this year ? (The release schedule for this year isn't the only potential that PS4 has left, there's still yet to come a current generation exclusive GTA and Elder Scrolls to boost PS4 to new heights) 

Why are you assuming the Switch will follow the same sales trajectory as the 3DS?

Because it's quite obvious it won't. 3DS couldn't even sell at $250, let alone $300. 

Switch is also getting a lot more games than the 3DS got. Games sell more consoles. 

Just compare the 3DS in 2011  on metacritic with the Switch's 2017. Huge difference. 



"The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must" - Thoukydides