thismeintiel on 06 January 2018
Well, Fri estimates are in, and it looks like if Sat and Sun don't rise quite a bit, the TLJ is going to do worse than my previous worst case scenario. It dropped 65% this Fri, so could be looking at a 60% drop over the weekend. I think it should lower to a 55% decline, but I'll go ahead and calculate using the new worst case scenario.
So, if it does drop 60%, that would mean it made $21M for the weekend, bringing the DBO to $570M. That would be a $242.7M decline, or 30% off. If the FBO sees the same decline, it will make $40.4M for the weekend, bringing the total to $613.9M. A difference of $307.5M, or 33% down. For WW, that would be a total of $1.18B. A difference of $550M or 32% down.
