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zorg1000 said:
DonFerrari said:

Have I said there were any formal announcement?

They were sold out like a month before, sold well on Nov (close to the Nintendo 2M production claim) and from the reports we had on the NPD and prediction threads the flow of Switch was always that it received constant supply but they weren't sitting around, so there wasn't much surplus to imagine that a September sold out, October nearly sold out, November no units sitting around with a 10M announcement and 2M December production would have 3M consoles shipped and not accounted for.

You are making alot of assumptions here.

According to Nintendo's own statements, there was a ~600k difference in shipped vs sold numbers at the end of September (7.62m shipped vs ~7m sold).

Also, outside of Japan, Switch does not appear to have mass shortages.

One last thing, if shipments are only about 12-13 million at the end of December than they would have shipped ~5 million this quarter with plans to ship ~4 million next quarter.

It doesnt add up, if Switch sales are around 13m than shipments would be close to 15m.

Sure I'm making assumptions.

So let's make a big leap of faith on the 2M per month as if it happened for Oct+Nov+Dec that would be 6M produced/shipped, plus the 7.62M they already had shipped. That makes 13,62M so it aligns more with mine 13-14M shipped with little inventory and 13M sold (because that 1M on channel would be what is on movement, 2M would mean a lot on shelves as well, what isn't really happening yet).



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."