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squibbfire said:

I think 50 million is on the low side, but still a reasonable prediction. The problem with the OP is that he didn't define failure. We can't have a good discussion about whether something will fail or succeed if these words aren't defined.

You really think its gonna hit 50 million?

Maybe if they drop the price to 179.99...like...tomorrow...

Switch can probably reach those 50M easily without any price drop. A price drop is only needed to get beyond that point