Bold Prediction : PS4 goes over 130m Lifetime.

[VideoGameAccountant]

Ka-pi96 said:

VideoGameAccountant said:

I said 70M because it's at ~66M per VGchartz. So I figured it would be at 70M year-end. If I'm saying the system has two more years on the market, then 30 million in two years would put it around 100M. Sure, it could be 110M given 73M and 38M over two years and change. I think that's a bit high, but yeah, it could happen. My point was more that 130M is way too high. I think we'll see a bigger drop off in 2018 as the system will enter its 5th year on the market. I was more trying to get a ballpark estimate based on what VGchartz have. So a 3 million difference between what I have and what you had is reasonable as I'm just trying to get close enough.

Yeah.... 66m with the two biggest months of the year still to go. During those two months last year there were 8m PS4s sold but that's just going to drop down to 4m this year (which would actually be the PS4s lowest ever Nov+Dec) for reasons?

Yeah, I gave the reason

"I was more trying to get a ballpark estimate based on what VGchartz have"

But for fun, let's compare. From May 2016 to January 2017, # of PS4s sold increased from 40.4 million to 54.3 million, which is about 13 million. PS4 has sold 60.4 million as of June 2017. So another 13 million over about 7 months puts it at 73 million which is what I was responding too.

https://www.playstation.com/en-us/corporate/press-releases/2016/playstation-4-sales-surpass-40-million-units-worldwide/

https://gematsu.com/2017/01/ps4-sells-6-2-million-units-2016-holiday-season-worldwide-sales-top-53-4-million

https://www.twst.com/update/sony-corporation-playstation4-sales-surpass-60-4-million-units-worldwide/

The number doesn't matter too much because I'm making a generalization. Note how I never said where it will exactly be but a ballpark (around 100M). The point was more that I don't think it will sell 130 million. A difference of 3 million won't change that, and my back of the napkin guess was close enough so that I could make my point. Forest vs trees people.