Bold Prediction : PS4 goes over 130m Lifetime.

[zorg1000]

JRPGfan said:

zygote said:

I have a feeling that PS4 numbers will drop off much more than we expect this next year. I'm not saying the drop off will be dramatic, but numbers will not be as high and will signal the coming end of the generation. I think VR has added some extra legs to the PS4. It is still left to see if Switch eats away huge chunks from the market, if VR will replace a portion of that gap given the bundle pushes this season, or if the numbers will be low enough to influence next gen console launches for 2019.

Personally, I think that the increasing Switch adoption rate with the lower platform sales this next year will push for new console releases in 2019.

To your prediction though, it is quite possible given the situation.

Why?

199$ perm price

God of War, Spiderman, Monster Hunter, Yakuza, Shadow of the Colossus, Secret of Mana, Shenmue, Dragon Quest, Kingdom Hearts, Ni No Kuni, Red Dead, Detroit become human... ect.

Look at the games 2018 has in store.

I dont think the drop off with be very big (if there even is one), Im pretty sure it ll be about what 2016/2017 was.

Permanent price cut to $199 will definitely keep momentum going and i get the point you are trying to make with software but you are using some strange examples.

For example, Dragon Quest released earlier this year in the only market where its a big deal, in the West its still a relatively niche franchise and will move very little hardware. Same goes for Yakuza.

It seems like half of your list is games you are personally interested in but will have little to no impact on hardware sales.

The type of software that moves PS4 hardware is primarily going to be AAA western games like it has been for the last 4 years.