Japan sales (Week 47): Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - November 20-26, 2017

[StuOhQ]

Miyamotoo said:

Switch start entering beast mode, 3m sold Switch units at end of this year seems like lock now.

Also:
02./03. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey # (Nintendo) {2017.10.27} (¥5.980) - 77.751 / 792.059 (+25%)
04./06. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 30.275 / 1.373.530 (+21%)
07./09. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 18.846 / 837.850 (+14%)
08./11. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 15.162 / 657.015 (+116%)

Fiscal year or calendar year? Fiscal year, it just has to run average numbers to get there with ease. Even under supply constraints similar to earlier in the year, it will still hit 3M by March. 

Calendar year (January 1st) is still definitely doable if Nintendo didn't spend their entire supply this week. It needs ~600k to get there over 5 weeks. 120k a week is possible... if Nintendo can produce the units. 

The real question is: how "over" are the shortages? I have no doubt the Switch could move another 800k units by January 1st if they were available.