November NPD 2017 predictions thread

[reviniente]

thismeintiel said:

celador said:

maybe, but the PS4 did fuck all for the first 3/4 of the months compared to the Switch consistently being much higher and the X1 having X preorders. It might win BF week, but still just come third.

and speaking of 'LOL' your PS4 prediction is ridiculous

I wouldn't say his prediction is ridiculous.  A little high, maybe, but not out of the realm of possibility.  Sony put out a shit ton of PS4's this week.  It's pretty obvious with how long it stayed at #1 and #2, plus how quickly it became the number one HW in the monthlies and rose in the yearlies on Amazon.  Judging by those yearlies, it's already covered whatever the X sold, even with preorders.  Which leaves the PS4 preorders and other SKUs (Slim and Pro) to combat the S. And other online sites show similar results.

More importantly, Sony has made sure to get a shit ton in physical retailers.  Insiders have said so, and I know my local Walmart seemed to have 50%-60% more PS4 stock than XBOs.  Remember they were trying to have enough stock for an entire weeks worth at a BF price.  Yet they still sold out with 3-4 days still left in the week.

AngryLittleAlchemist said:

You expect a 30% increase in PS4's in Novemeber over last year? When it has more competition than ever?

You expect it to sell nearly twice of the Switch? Even with supply issues that is pretty .... ambitious?

See above.  The 30% increase is not impossible, though, I personally doubt it.  I also think the Switch will be closer than he thinks, but, again, not impossible.

Nothing is certain, though. Right now (11.28@19:30ET), that discounted $199 PS4 slim is sitting at #47. The $189 Xbox One S is at #43. Yearly.