| TheSource said: First day sales were higher than I expected looking at previous top preorder data vs. week one data.
MGS2 went from ~469k to 89k on a bigger userbase than PS3 has in week one to week two. MGS3 went from ~498k to 115k on an even bigger base in week one to week two.
I'm thinking a disproportionately high number of the games sales will be day one, I wouldn't be surprised at all if it tops at 420k week one, even after a 300k opening simply because 420k is ~20% of the PS3 base in Japan.
Software should behave something like this: 420k-65k-35k-15k-8k-5k-2k PS3 hw might do something like this: 35k-25k-15k-12k-9k
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Wow, that is extremey frontloaded. But I agree on the SW.
HW, 35K sounds low for 1st week. I mean shouldnt HW be very frontloaded as well? And 25K HW on just 65K SW in 2nd week seems very very high.
Anyway, my original modified prediction was 350K SW and 50K HW on first week. So Japan numbers bit higher, but overall its gonna be hard for MGS4 to pass 2 mill 1st week WW and 5 mill lifetime.
