Switch Is Succeeding Without Blue Ocean Casuals, Nintendo Should Not Forget This.

[zorg1000]

fatslob-:O said:

zorg1000 said:

We cannot see that and yes install base is a concern

 

Oct 2017 (SW 8th month)

SW-2.6 million

PS4+XBO-37 million

 

June 2007 (Wii 8th month)

Wii-3.2 million

PS3+360-7.0 million

 

SW is going against consoles with over 14x the install base vs Wii going up against consoles with a little over 2x the install base.

If PS4 & XBO were only about a year old and Nintendo games included digital on NPD charts than we would be looking at a much different chart. Games like BotW & MK8D would be higher while games like Splatoon, Pokken & Mario Rabbids would likely be in the charts.

Not really because Install base didn't stop games such as SM3DL, Wii Fit, SMG, NSMB2, and MP8 (all of which released within 2 years of the systems launch) from being able reach 70% of their lifetime sales within their 18 months of sale ... (despite hardware having sold less than half the lifetime units those games only ended up adding the rest of the 30% even though lifetime hardware sales more than doubled eventually) 

SpokenTruth said:

You have provided an abject failure of an argument.  Legs are a ratio of first week sales to lifetime sales.  Not chart performance compared to other titles.   Legs are a measure of continued sales over a long term trend regardless of where they place on a sales chart. And you are again completely ignoring install base and NPD reporting methodologies.

Actually, chart performance is highly correlated to a games legs ... 

It's not a good sign that a game is outside of the top 20 regardless of whatever conditions and especially this early in a systems lifetime where first party games are it's lifeblood to maintaining momentum ... 

Wait, why is selling 70% of lifetime sales in 18 months considered bad legs?

Why did you pick 70% or 18 months as the cutoff?

What about 50% of sales in the first 12 months?

Or what about 30% of sales in first 6 months?

 

It seems like you picked two absolutely arbitrary variables and acted like thats standard.