PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[DonFerrari]

JWeinCom said:

DonFerrari said:

Well X1 and X360 had MS dropping support on the last years and even like that it took longer than Nintendo counterpart to drop, but sure that also have something to do with the transgen and 3rd party titles that Nintendo don't get.

And yes, I don't think he have enough knowledge to determine with certainty if is Nintendo that drops support and sales decrease or if Nintendo drops support because sales have dropped (I'm more inclined to the second because that is how the other companies have done to start new gen. When the SW sales start declining they announce a new gen that shall start in the next 6-12 months).

But the most relevant point is that Nintendo sales of consoles haven't carried to a new gen and even when they were leading it dropped fast after peaking.

 

The Wii's sales decline was pretty much in line with other consoles, until they stopped pushing software.  

I actually don't think sales of future consoles are all that relevant.  The PS2 and DS were massively successful and enjoyed lengthy support, but that didn't stop the PS3 and 3DS from having bad launches and less successful lifespans.  The Wii U was so conceptually flawed that it really is hard to make any judgments based on that.  It was going to fail.  Success of a previous console is not a strong predictor of a new console's success.  You think it would be, but it doesn't tend to turn out that way.

Also, bear in mind that keeping a console's lifespan long isn't necessarily Nintendo's priority.  The GBA was actually doing really well, but they cut its lifespan short to launch the DS.  Keeping a console going for a long time is not necessarily a good thing.  It is good for Microsoft and Sony who rely on third party support and typically incur big losses at launch, but Nintendo's business model is different.

Nope... Wii decline were much faster than ps1,2 3 and x360.

But yes failure or success of one gen doesn't necessarilly translate to the other, have I said it does?

I doubt it's Nintendo priority. But I just pointed the common fact that new gen start when the sales of SW start declining. Sony and MS doesn't keep a gen long, customers do. If they are buying a lot of SW then there is no pressure for new HW, if they aren't then the pressure comes.