PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[VideoGameAccountant]

Megiddo said:

VideoGameAccountant said:

I don't think one region is a make or break. For instance, Sony does poorly in Japan compared to Nintendo's handhelds and the PS4 only has a 3 million lead over the XBox One in the US. Europe is Sony's major region for Sony, but Japan isn't. Conversely, Japan is a major region for Nintendo and not Sony. No one is saying Sony needs to dominate Japan in order to sell 100 million. Right now, the Switch is selling above the pace of the 3DS in "Other". SInce the Switch is projected to do as well as Sony did in it's first full fiscal year, I don't think the current European sales are that much of an issue. 

The problem is that the markets you are comparing aren't even remotely comparable. Japan's console video game market is tiny compared to Europe. That's why the PS4's under-performance in Japan doesn't matter nearly as much as Nintendo's under-performance (thus far) in Europe. I agree with the previous poster who says that the Switch's lifetime sales passing PS4 will depend heavily on if they can get a grasp of the European market, as thus far that's why the PS4 has paced ahead.

The problem is that you are saying it has to sell well in one market because Sony does well in that market. Again, if you look at Sony's Japan numbers, they are awful, so they need to do well in Europe if the system is to sell well. Nintendo doesn't have this because it dominates Japan and does well in the US. Again, Nintendo isn't doing bad in Europe and I think this is the misconception people are making. Europe's importance is being overemphasized because Sony does really well there. Nintendo will easily have a 15-25 million gain over Sony from Japan alone. If you look at it holistically, then you'd see that Nintendo progress in other regions more than makes up for a perceived lacking in Europe.