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RolStoppable said:

I think launch-aligned Wii and Switch are pretty close. Wii stopped being sold out in its first fall, but Wii also launched three months farther away from fall. Wii had a baseline of around 60k before fall while Switch had ~25k in May and June and later on ~45k; so yeah, launch-aligned the total amount of Switches sold might still be lagging behind Wii.

That being said, Switch is bound to take the lead and afterwards maintain better momentum during its second year. Japanese third parties treated Wii like an outcast, but since then the market has changed so much. Back then there was a choice between Wii, DS, PS3, PSP and 360 (Microsoft was throwing cash around, so it wasn't about installed base alone); now it's only PS4 and Switch.

You bring up a good point. The Wii had to compete with 4 other platforms for support but the Switch only has 1. If the Switch continues the trend of Nintendo getting more 3rd party support then it would really help. Now I wonder if Sony letting the Switch have such a big headstart will hurt the PS5 by any big degree in Japan.  Japanese developers don't care about power as much as western ones do so we might be in some more surprises in the next few years. 



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