The Switch and Nintendo hardware

[The_Liquid_Laser]

Lonely_Dolphin said:

The_Liquid_Laser said: 

This is really the root of why we disagree.  I think that killer apps are a lot more important than you do.  A vast and diverse library is certainly important, but how does one get that?  A killer app released during the console's first year or so leads 3rd parties to want to make games for the console.  The killer app builds sales momentum, and then the other games keep the sales momentum going.

The disagreement comes from you using personal bias over sales to determine if a game is a killer app or not. However if you truely believe the bolded now (which is what I've been trying to get through to you...), a complete 180 from your previous stance where BotW is solely responsible for Switch's success, then surely you can no longer agree with your Switch selling less in 2018 claim. Even if you don't believe Splatoon/3D Mario/Mario Kart are killer apps despite sales clearly saying otherwise, they along with the many other games are going to maintain momentum. Also another tidbit I shoulda brought up earlier is that pretty much no console has ever slowed down in the second year, yep even the Wii U's year 2 was better than it's 1st. Switch has arguably the best library ever for a system going into year 2, no way will it be an exception to this.

Ugh I said I was gonna drop this but with the bolded you showed signs of getting what I'm saying so I felt compelled enough to give a lengthly reply. Don't let me down now with your next response if you make one!

Not a 180 at all.  Let me be clear what my stance is, then you can go back to my original post and see if I am contradicting myself.

1) This year, 2017, the Switch is selling well because of two factors: A) People who want a powerful handheld and B) Zelda.

2) In 2018, sales will decline compared to 2017, because the momentum from Zelda will have worn off.

3) In 2019+, sales will dramatically rise because new groups of people will hop on board the Switch.  This will be because of things like a larger library (i.e. many 3rd parties) and cheaper/simpler hardware.

Also, here is a bonus for you. :)  Switch's year 2 will be different from every other console, because Switch's year 1 was different from every other console.  Name another console that both launched early in the year and sold far beyond nearly everyone's expectations.