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quickrick on 17 November 2017
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Shadow1980 said:
quickrick said:

all you have to is look at shipments for every successful console that launched during its first holiday compared to its second holiday, because of stock issues the next holiday increase by a good 3-6 million units, while it might me a small advantage, its not any where what people are making it out to be . switch should get a huge boost this holiday that will destroy every consoles first holiday ever, just because it will have plenty of stock, compared to console holiday launches.  

Not only is this irrelevant to the point I was trying to make, but the ratio of launch holiday sales to second holiday sales (for Q4 launches) isn't a good predictor of future success. In the U.S., the PS4 actually sold less in its second holiday than in its first, and the XBO grew less than the PS3 did in its second holiday, while we saw the most growth with the PS1. Yet the PS4 is doing better than the XBO, which is certainly doing far better than the PS3, and the PS1 certainly hasn't remained the #1 console ever.

If people are going to compare the PS4 & Switch, an honest comparison can't simply align them by launch month and omit any context by ignoring the importance of launch timing. A simple LTD comparison that aligns them by launch month makes the Switch look like it's doing worse that it actually is.

I do agree that the Switch will have a strong holiday, though, at least 2 million in the U.S. for the Nov.+Dec. period.

at the same time switch will look MUCH better then its really doing after the holiday because of launching in march. we are not talking about only US sales only, were talking about WW sales. ps4 after its holiday launch, has shipped near or more then 8 million  during every holiday quarter. despite what you call being a disadvantage, is actually a advantage. really switch shipped 2.74 during march, and had massive shortages, ps4 shipped 4.2 million during the whole holidays, seems like a very small difference compared to ps4 regular holidays with no shortages, not to mention ps4 launch boost which basically goes down the drain.  

Last edited by quickrick - on 18 November 2017