PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[zorg1000]

quickrick said:

zorg1000 said:

A couple things you arent taking into account.

3DS had a massive price cut 5 months after launch, this caused sales to skyrocket in late summer and through the holidays. The price cut didnt really increase the appeal of the system, rather it just made people get one sooner than they had intended.

Wii U really didnt peak in the first year, it was massively overshipped in the launch window which really skews things and caused Nintendo to basically ship next to nothing during the next few quarters in order to get rid of unsold stock.

These scenarios are clearly not the same situation Switch is in so they really cant be compared. Switch didnt need a masive price cut to get people buying one and has suffered supply constraints rather than being massively overshipped.

Switch is selling well simply by being an appealing device with great marketing and a kickass software library.

your not taking into account that this is nintendo next console and handheld, with there best first year launch line up ever. of course its gonna start strong. by next next year if it keeps beating ps4 in npd, then ill be convinced, hell i wanna see how it does  for this for the holidays first. i just believe it too early to tell, especially with out strong the mobile market is.

I am taking that into account.

Comparing Switch to 3DS or Wii U makes no sense for these reasons.

Hardware appeal-The concept of a 3D screen or the Wii U gamepad were poor and people didnt like them. The concept of being able to seamlessy go from console to handheld play is desirable.

Marketing/advertising-3DS was long thought to be a DS  revision with 3D as Wii U was thought to be a tablet add on for Wii. On top of that they were both almost exclusively aimed at kids/families on children's networks while Switch is clearly a brand new device that is aimed at all sorts of demographics and ads are all over the place.

Software output-3DS & Wii U both suffered from multiple software droughts throughout their life cycles. 3DS primarily in 2011/2012 and Wii U throughout its entire cycle. This has not and likely will not be an issue for Switch since its their only device going forward.

Price-The combination of those previously listed factors caused 3DS/Wii U to be seen as expensive and not worth the purchase. Switch succeeds in all those areas making it seem like a great value at its current price.