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quickrick on 15 November 2017
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zorg1000 said:
quickrick said:

I  believe switch will be  a very front loaded product, because of the mobile market. this year is just launched so take into account the wiiu sold the best in it's first year, so combine 3ds and wiiu in it's first year, and you have amazing numbers. then you have nintedo releasing 4 of there biggest franchises in the first year 2 of them the highest rated games of all time, and the third a 94, and then you splatoon which is phenomena. just look at super nes clasiic the thing could probably sell 7 million pretty fast but eventually sells will plummet. 

 

As for the holidays IDC what amazon says, ps4 will win december, and xbone and the x will take november easily, quote me on this.

A couple things you arent taking into account.

3DS had a massive price cut 5 months after launch, this caused sales to skyrocket in late summer and through the holidays. The price cut didnt really increase the appeal of the system, rather it just made people get one sooner than they had intended.

Wii U really didnt peak in the first year, it was massively overshipped in the launch window which really skews things and caused Nintendo to basically ship next to nothing during the next few quarters in order to get rid of unsold stock.

These scenarios are clearly not the same situation Switch is in so they really cant be compared. Switch didnt need a masive price cut to get people buying one and has suffered supply constraints rather than being massively overshipped.

Switch is selling well simply by being an appealing device with great marketing and a kickass software library.

your not taking into account that this is nintendo next console and handheld, with there best first year launch line up ever. of course its gonna start strong. by next next year if it keeps beating ps4 in npd, then ill be convinced, hell i wanna see how it does  for this for the holidays first. i just believe it too early to tell, especially with out strong the mobile market is.