PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[zorg1000]

quickrick said:

peachbuggy said:

Apart from personal bias, what makes you think it will slow down in any of these territories? Demand has only recently even been met in the U.S. and still not even been met in Japan. I actually voted for the PS4 to win, due to longevity. However whilst i still think that, i don't think it's a lock that the PS4 will even beat Switch WW this year. If Amazon is anything to go by, Switch wins in U.S. massively in both October and November, won't lose Europe by enough to offset that and probably wins December too. That would be enough to catch the 1.9m or whatever the gap is this year. Holiday time is when the sales race is "won" or "lost" in all reality.

I  believe switch will be  a very front loaded product, because of the mobile market. this year is just launched so take into account the wiiu sold the best in it's first year, so combine 3ds and wiiu in it's first year, and you have amazing numbers. then you have nintedo releasing 4 of there biggest franchises in the first year 2 of them the highest rated games of all time, and the third a 94, and then you splatoon which is phenomena. just look at super nes clasiic the thing could probably sell 7 million pretty fast but eventually sells will plummet. 

 

As for the holidays IDC what amazon says, ps4 will win december, and xbone and the x will take november easily, quote me on this.

A couple things you arent taking into account.

3DS had a massive price cut 5 months after launch, this caused sales to skyrocket in late summer and through the holidays. The price cut didnt really increase the appeal of the system, rather it just made people get one sooner than they had intended.

Wii U really didnt peak in the first year, it was massively overshipped in the launch window which really skews things and caused Nintendo to basically ship next to nothing during the next few quarters in order to get rid of unsold stock.

These scenarios are clearly not the same situation Switch is in so they really cant be compared. Switch didnt need a masive price cut to get people buying one and has suffered supply constraints rather than being massively overshipped.

Switch is selling well simply by being an appealing device with great marketing and a kickass software library.