PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[zorg1000]

fatslob-:O said:

zorg1000 said:

Your first mistake is using this sites numbers when we have actual NPD leaks to go off of. Switch outsold 3DS by over 100k in Sept+Oct.

Its possible that 3DS can cut into Switch's lead by a little bit but it wont be by much. 3DS did about 2.4m in Nov+Dec and there is no way Switch is doing less than 2 million in those months.

 

The fact that 3DS needed a huge price cut down to $170 just to be competitive with Switch at $300 shows that Switch has alot more potential than 3DS ever did.

Even NPD has a margin of error and it adds up in comparison to the internal tracking of console manufacturers ...

Actually, there's a possible scenario in which the switch could fall a little short of 2M units in Nov+Dec in the US. Switch has no discounts or value added bundles going into black friday and only has SMO at full $60 to tide them over into December. $199 PS4 Slim and X1S + game at $229 could really steal the show at black friday in the US. Even the 3DS had value added bundles such as Zelda/Mario (yes, even Nintendo's latest game was subject to bundling too) for $199 in it's first black friday despite having just receiving it's initial price cut shortly before and that's what drove 3DS to sell 800K+ units in the US for november along with a new AAA game launch ... (November for 3DS in the US is almost as big as Nintendo's biggest system launch in the US which was the Switch! Switch sold 900K units in the US during March while 3DS will go on to sell 

I can see a case where the Switch would only be able to move 600K units in the US for November because Nintendo decided not to do any deals for that month with stiff competition and sell 1.3M units in December which amounts to 1.9M units. Switch would have to mostly sell on the strength of SMO for the holidays whereas the 3DS had MK7 and SM3DL along with it's initial price cut to stand beside it during that same period ... 

3DS with it's deals, prior price cut and two flagships will handily secure victory for Nov+Dec and it could close the gap with the Switch in the US by as much as 0.5M units ... 

There's a tell tale sign that someone's argument is going downhill, they start to talk about NPD numbers not being accurate....

 

As for Switch vs 3DS holiday, we will just have to wait and see.