PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[zorg1000]

fatslob-:O said:

zorg1000 said:

We have NPD data for Sept/Oct Nov 2011, 3DS did about 250/260k while Switch is over 300k in each of those months.

After 8 months, Switch leads 3DS in USA by close to 1 million (over 2.6m vs under 1.7m).

Some analysts are now expecting Switch to do over 5 million this year if they have enough stock which would mean it would still have close to a 1 million lead over 3DS at the end of the year.

 

It seems unlikely that 3DS will start to close the gap against Switch this year and like you said 2011 was 3DS best holiday so it seems unlikely that it ever will catch Switch.

According to this site the 3DS sold ~290K for it's first September while the Switch did ~300K according to NPD and vgc will match that figure at it's current pace. In October the 3DS did ~250K on this site while the Switch will do roughly ~300K if the press release from Nintendo is to be believed ... (Switch at the end of September is at ~2.3M units sold in the US and at the end of October the Switch is just over 2.6M units) 

All things considered 3DS was very close to the Switch in September and in October it was competitive but the Switch also had the benefit of SMO spiking hardware sales for the last 5 days of October ... 

Along with the 3DS's price cut and the release of SM3DL in November, I expect the 3DS to be able to gain some ground against the Switch in the US and even more ground during December where MK7 releases ... (Not in any of PS4's years was it ever able to beat the 3DS in it's first December according to this site! Tall order for the Switch to sell ~1.6M units this December in the US when it'll be unlikely to get hardware deals especially in comparison to it's competitors) 

Your first mistake is using this sites numbers when we have actual NPD leaks to go off of. Switch outsold 3DS by over 100k in Sept+Oct.

Its possible that 3DS can cut into Switch's lead by a little bit but it wont be by much. 3DS did about 2.4m in Nov+Dec and there is no way Switch is doing less than 2 million in those months.

 

The fact that 3DS needed a huge price cut down to $170 just to be competitive with Switch at $300 shows that Switch has alot more potential than 3DS ever did.