fatslob-:O said:
No, your error was thinking that Nintendo's quarterly reports shared sold numbers rather shipped numbers but there are many other things you got wrong ... It pretty much is a rumor so far since Nintendo never confirmed it or denied it themselves ... Actually, the Switch managed to match the 3DS in terms of game lineup quite nicely in a similar timeframe. Both had Zelda, Mario Kart and 3D Mario. The different game between them were Nintendogs + Cats and Splatoon 2. Pilotwings ended up being irrelevant according to this site so both systems had 3/4 of the same biggest franchises at a similar point. 3DS did have a price cut but that just indicates consumers thought it had initially bad value proposition. The DS had many more differences than a revision but the demographics are also vastly different between it and the Switch so they don't even have same appeal ... (it shows since Nintendo isn't pursuing the so called 'blue ocean' strategy anymore) Yes, the Switch is outperforming the 3DS right now in that timeframe but by the end of this fiscal year Nintendo expects both to be at par in terms of shipment ... (Nintendo still had yet to release SM3DL, MK7 and MH Tri while the Switch had already released Zelda, MK8D and Splatoon which just left SMO) 3DS had 3 STRAIGHT weeks in a row where it sold over 1M units in 2011 and 5 weeks in a row where it sold over 500K units in 2011! It's doubtful that the Switch will be able to match that peak during the holidays ... AC:NL and NSMB2 just barely cleared 10M+ units and Smash for 3DS did not sell 10M+ units unless you want to count the WII U version too ... As for the last line, I think you might need to get past the first stage of grief ... |
I find it very cute that you said I was wrong yet you wrote that post.
First, you don't understand that projections are not the same as actual. Fun fact, did you know that Nintendo revised their projection for the 3DS downward. They originally expected the system to sell 16 million but revised it downward in the third quarter. They, of course, didn't sell 16 million. 14 million is what Nintendo is projecting for the Switch, but Nintendo is also very conservative as well. It goes back to what I said about ignoring information that doesn't fit your conclusion. I showed you how the system could sell over 14 million and could be at 18 million by the end of the third quarter, but that doesn't matter.
"Its doubtful Switch will be able to match that peak during the holiday." And why not? The Switch is already outselling the 3DS within the first two quarters. Why would it not do that during the third? You don't say. You just claim it's impossible. It can't happen.
You also keep bringing up shipment vs sales when I'm comparing the same reports (meaning it would be irrelevant if it was sold-in vs sold-through), so I'm not sure you even understand what's going on.
At this point, you are moving the goal post to avoid admitting your wrong. You were so sure about comparing the Switch to the 3DS, but when you are clearly shown that the Switch is outpacing the 3DS, you proclaim it can't sell the same numbers this holiday. Of course, you proclaim that with no actual facts or even arguments. And it's funny because you claim I'm in denial, but I've clearly shown you the numbers on how the Switch is outperforming. Your response is to say how it just can't happen. That is the definition of denial.
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