PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[Azuren]

StarDoor said:

Azuren said:

Three years was simply how long I feel 8th Gen has left. Even if it outsold the PS4 by 20% every week for the next FIVE years, it wouldn't do anything. PS4 has too much of a headstart, and despite what some people insist, Switch is an 8th Gen and will likely be replaced around the same time as the PS4.

So you seriously expect that Switch will have a lifecycle of 4.5 years at max? Switch launched 3.5 years after PS4, but it'll get replaced at the same time. Obviously.

And that's not even addressing how completely illogical it is to think that Switch selling 20% more than PS4 for the next five years is some sort of difficult feat. You do realize that at least 4 of those years are going to be after PS4's peak, right?

Yes, I wouldn't be surprised. 6 years for Wii, 5 years for Wii U... Seems to be Nintendo's range for their main platforms.

 

Oh, then you simply got the wrong message out of it: I'm not saying it's impossible, I'm pointing out that if sales were in the Switch's favor for the rest of the generation, it'd take massive margins to close the distance before 8th Gen is over and companies start pushing out new systems. Then there's the fact that Sony is simply more likely to support their system longer than Nintendo will.

 

Will Sony always have the advantage week to week? No. Will the Switch be able to consistently generate large enough numbers to over take PS4 before a hypothetical Switch 2 releases? Very unlikely.