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PS4 win by a huge margin. The comparison obv doesn't count that Switch had to release Zelda, 3D Mario, Mario Kart, Splatoon and Xenoblade 2 in his first year to try to do the same numbers of PS4's first year which had less important exclusive.
Switch had shortages but even PS4 had shortages years ago. Before will se another Zelda or 3D Mario we have to wait a long time from 2 to 3 years as well, instead PS4 is having a lot of important exclusive (blockbuster) such as TLOU, Death stranding, Spiderman and others (or Monster Hunter world as an exclusive in Japan, which will be easily a million seller or KH3 and FFVII Remake). Plus the PS4 has perfored extremely well during it's entire life and Sony it's the one who have invested the most in China at the moment, or in the VR, yes, PS4 it's the cheaper way to enjoy the VR which is a factor to me.
An other factor is that Switch will not have a lot of third party games cause of the hardware. Just skipped some blockbuster such as Star wars, Lord of the rings, CoD, Assassin's creed, NFS and other.
The release of new console, mainly PS5, will affect even the Switch not only the PS4. Switch is suffering with Zelda and Mario at 900p, with frame drop, so this mean that they cannot push more too far than this. The competitors are just pushing on 4K content (and HDR) at the moment and try to make it the standard while the Switch will not reach the FullHD.

At the moment i see PS4 reaching 120 to 130 and Switch to reach 50 to 70 millions. Some could change, Switch it's in his early life, but in every case i see PS4 sell more than Switch LT.