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flashfire926 said:
DonFerrari said:

I have no issue with Nintendo selling 30M (althougth I think that is very far to reach, and people saying Nintendo is confident is also a little conflitant because the amount the launched and the production rate didn't show a lot of confidence).

My only question is people thinking it makes sense for Nintendo to produce 30M and sell less than 20M in a year.

I think 20M is more likely and even that is quite aggressive for a second year.

If they need to produce 25% more than they can sell just to prevent droughts then Nintendo really is bad at planning inventory and reading the market and determine demand.

They producing more than they can or will ship is quite different than produce excessive inventory just to met unrealistic production.

That lower production rate was not because of a lack of confidence, but rather shortages in parts they couldnt do much about.

 

And in general,e veryone is reading to much into this, its probably just a PR statement to make shareholders more satisfied. They will probably realistically make 15-20 million units, not much more than that.

That is one narrative. If they planned the release correctly there wouldn't be a reason to not be able to produce more, because even with the analysts puting the other products that affected the components for Switch, they sold dozen Millions, so it wasn't like Nintendo wouldn't be able to produce more if they planned and had confidence.

Nintendo can't make this type of PR because that would manipulate market and stock and is a crime (this isn't a real Nintendo PR), and my questioning is to people thinking it is reasonable to produce 30M planning to ship 20M.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."