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Ryng_Tolu said:
sc94597 said:
I think fifteen million is possible (not probable, but not highly unlikely) but 20 million seems out of question.

How is 15 million not probable?

Odyssey is so far the fasting selling Mario 3D ever, and we already saw how successful some IP can be on Switch. This is just the same case of Zelda, where no game ever surpassed 10 million (the best selling was TP with 8.5 million) and now Breath of the wild is on the road for 10-12 million.

Anything less than 15 million, is very bold, considering Galaxy almost did 13 million, and Odyssey should easy beat him.

All games have their saturation point. Just because it is the fastest selling within the current time interval (when people are starved for new Switch games, as the platform is pretty new and active) does not mean the trend will continue. There is a limit to the number of people 3D Mario appeals to, and I expect that to be comparable to Super Mario Galaxy's sales. Especially as the Switch has a much stronger library over time. Super Mario Odyssey might outsell galaxy, but I don't suspect it will do it by more than two million. Hence "fifteen million is possible (not probably, but not highly unlikely.) 

There is really no reason to think that just because it is the fastest selling (up until now) that it will continue to outpace the rest of the series at the current rate.  

Same thing for Breath of the Wild, although in BoTW's case the conventions were change much more significantly than in SMO's.