The Switch could surpass the Xbox One by 2019

[S.T.A.G.E.]

Mr Puggsly said:

Switch surpassing X1 in 2019 makes two assumptions. Switch momentum won't stop and X1 will see a big drop.

If X1 can hold its sales at about 8 million a year, it should be at 50 million by the end of 2019. So that means Switch needs to do north of like 17 million 3 years straight.

So if trends continue as they are, 2020 seems more likely.

For the record though, even if both had an equal userbase they still appeal to very different audiences. Their software sales will reflect that.

Early 2020 is a fair bet. I can't the the foreseeable games on the Xbox keeping the console selling stable. This year has been a definite indicator as well. Let's hope something sticks next year for the Xbox.