67.5M PS4 shipped. 4.2M in Q2. Forecast for FY raised

[DonFerrari]

Hiku said:

DonFerrari said:

Maybe he didn't want to admit his mistake.

Who knows. Some times you get a lot of replies in various threads so it's easy to some times forget to check the blue notifications before they vanish out of your sight.
I did however not see a new estimate from him since then, but one of the comments in this thread seems to suggest that he might have one. Not sure. But if so I wonder what made him change his mind.

I don't think PS4 has performed in any really surprisingly unexpected way in the past few years, other than that 2017 became a bit better than what people commonly anticipated in 2016. But that's not enough to jump from a 90M estimate to 110m+ or whatever he may think now.

Well yes he can have missed the notification.

Well PS4 have upsold their initial year prediction on every single year, and had revised the forecast up almost every year and only once of those up revision wasn't beat on the year end, and for little.... they weren't totally smashed revisions, but it was consistent.

Miyamotoo said:

Kerotan said:

 

If it hits 80m by fiscal year 2017 which is march next year then it should hit 100m by fiscal year 2018 which is march 2019. It will have many megatons release in that time and price cuts to ps4 slim, pro and psvr.  I just can't see it needing to wait until holiday 2019. Ps4 is a beast and it ain't slowing down.

We dont know exatly how well PS4 will sell in FY 2018., but 2019. seems like safe bet for 100m in any case, I dont think its important if that will be in first half of 2019. or in second half of 2019. And ofcourse, PS4 will start slowing down in some point, PS4 is now exactly 4 years old console and consoles usually have their peak sales in 3., 4. or 5. year on market, so for PS4 is probably this or next year and after that will probably start slowing down.

Sorry but the numbers we have had up to PS360 gen the peak used to be 2nd year or at most 3rd year.. 4, 5 or 6 only happened with PS3 and X360 because of sony initial mistakes and time took to release slim and good price for one side and Kinect plus price for the other... PS4 getting it with almost no pricecut is new.