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Slarvax said:

 

Looks like I'll be losing this one, probabaly... will be pretty damn close, though, haha!

 

Generally, US is just under 50%, for mario, which would likely give you the win, with digital.

 

However, Nostalgia's also a major seller here, particularly for the Sandbox titles Mario 64 and Mario Sunshine, where the US actually represented well over 50% of sales, over 60%, for Sunshine. Purely based on Amazon, it seemed like much more of a success in the US than Europe. The onenumber we do have (UK) would indicate that Europe is less represented than usual - at about 25% of the total, pretty much in the middle between Sunshine/64 (at around 20%) and Galaxy/Galaxy 2/ 3D world (30%). To note, Japan is looking to be exceptionally strong again, which could compensate Europe's deficit, and push US bellow 50% of worldwide, with rest of world.

 

Interestingly, mediacrate numbers can possibly tell us who won the bet. If it's over 500k, I can probably give it to you, if it's below 350k, I'd expect to win this.

Last edited by palou - on 31 October 2017

Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.