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Wyrdness on 25 October 2017
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PAOerfulone said:


If Smash 5 were in development, they would have announced it already and the internet would be melting with hype, just like with 4 and Brawl.

Announcing a port is a different situation than announcing a brand new installment. The time table between announcement and release is usually much shorter for a port (MK8D - 6 months, Pokken - 3 months) than it is for a new installment (Fire Emblem, Metriod Prime 4, and Pokemon - TBD). So, the reason Smash 4 Deluxe wasn't announced is because its release isn't close yet. And because they want to pattern and organize their releases to fill out the schedule and continue momentum. With ports, 60% of the work on development is already done. It's simply a matter of choosing an approriate time to release it. That's one of the main purposes of ports, to fill out the gaps in a release schedule.

Between Breath of the Wild, MK8D, ARMS, Splatoon 2, Xenoblade 2, Pokken DX, Mario x Rabbids, and Odyssey, there was no need or rush for Smash Bros. in 2017. 2018, however, based on what we know so far, looks to be the perfect time for Smash Bros. to come in. All that's been confirmed so far are Yoshi, Kirby, and Fire Emblem, in terms of first party, Animal Crossing is widely assumed to be 2018, since everyone generally agrees that Metroid Prime 4 and Pokemon aren't coming any time soon.
Three 'B' Tier games so far, compared to 3 'A' Tier games the year before, two of which are being considered to be some of the greatest games in their franchises' history (Breath of the Wild and Odyssey), would be very underwhelming and shoot the Switch's momentum in the foot. They need some more big guns. Smash Bros. would be much more useful in that '2018' slot and it's much more feasible to port and enhance Smash 4 in the Switch, with the Wii U + 3DS content, making it the definitive version, than making Smash 5 from scratch.

That would mean that Smash 5 has been in development for some time, but like I said, we'd know about it by now. Why would they announce Prime 4 and Gen 8 before Smash 5 if the latter is much closer to completion and release than the former 2? That makes no sense.

No we wouldn't you're basing the whole they would annouce it argument on a time long gone under what you're claiming Mario Odyssey would have been announced two years ago the argument you're putting forward is not concrete or solid you're essentially saying if its in development they would announced it despite the fact that this era strategic announcements and releases come into play far more then just announcing something for hype.  Before the Direct many thought AC wouldn't be out next year now people are saying its likely out next year because we're in an era where Nintendo are more strategic in announcements and releases.

What further goes against your argument is claiming Fire Emblem is b tier when Nintendo themselves have said the franchise is now considered one of their big IPs both internally and by consumers which sales of recent games have backed and no everyone doesn't agree on Prime 4 they say it might not be out yet could still make 2018 especially as the rumour goes only Pokemon is what people agree on. Under this FE, Metroid and AC would make up 3 A tier franchises under your argument, the are also third party titles like DQXI, SMTV, NMH, Fear Effect, Blazblue etc... next year to fill up the library further.