TheSource on 12 June 2008
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ says Obama has a ~55% chance of winning right now looking at the polls, adjusting for sample sizes & pollster reliability, kerry/bush splits, gore/bush splits, and state demographic data.
It gives Obama an average of 278 electoral votes when the possible scenarios base on the polls are played out 10,000 times in a computer simulation if I'm interpreting how the site works correctly.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
