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StarDoor said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Q1 ended before the first out of 3 production increases announced for this year was taking effect. With Inreases 1&2 having been in Juli and late September, we will see in 10 days how much they actually improved the situation in terms of shipments. And seeing how well they are doing here on Amazon US right now, still before increase number 3, I'm pretty sure 12M is lowest end of what they can do.

What is your source for there being three separate production increases? All Nintendo has confirmed is the one in July. Periods of increased shipments aren't the same thing as production increases, because all console manufacturers hold back a certain amount of stock for the holiday quarter. It doesn't make financial sense to increase production capacity just for the holidays, because then that capacity goes unused for the rest of the year.

Nintendo Direct. At least here, they said that the production increases will take their effect during early summer, late summer and finally for the holiday season.

Also, there where the reports early in the year that Nintendo bumped up the production (well, planned to anyway) even before the console got launched, with the first plan announcing a doubling of the production for this year (not fiscal year) from 8 to 16 and then a second one bringing it to 18 to make sure everyone could get a switch during the holiday season and not having crying children who couldn't get one (their own statement!) - though it's been rumored that the small bump was mostly to get better conditions from the parts suppliers (probably steadier supply, but possibly also for a lower price)