NPD nintendo Switch #1 Selling Hardware in September. Nintendo Systems = 2/3 Total sales.

[PAOerfulone]

DonFerrari said:

PAOerfulone said:

Just wait until the October NPD results come in and I'm sure you'll be satisfied.

I'm not disatisfied... but please explain how marginal victories define a killing... also for Switch to pass PS4 it have to hit over 120M, so are you certain that will happen?

PAOerfulone said:

1) That 2018 release date for Kingdom Hearts III is highly doubtful. It's been 4 and half years since they revealed the game and we know next to nothing about it except that it will have Toy Story. Since this is Square Enix and Nomura we're talking about, I'll believe that 2018 release when I see it. 
2) If Animal Crossing comes out next year, then no, PS4 will NOT have the biggest Japanese game next year. Not. Even. Close. The best selling KH game in Japan, the first game, did 1.49 million on the PS2, which had an install base of well over 23 million in Japan. Animal Crossing: New Leaf is at 4.64 million AND COUNTING. 
3) You clearly must not have been paying attention to my 3rd point. The Switch hardware sells itself, being able to play console quality games whereever and whenver you want is a feature that ANY gamer, casual or dedicated, will be interested in. It has already replaced the 3DS, not just as the #1 King in Japan, but Nintendo handheld owners are naturally migrating towards it. Plus, it's best selling region is in the U.S. where its supply is beginning to catch up to demand. 

It doesn't have RDR2 (for now), but it doesn't need it, nor does it need Pokemon to keep up and build upon the momentum in 2018. They just need to keep a steady and consistent stream of 1st and 3rd party titles coming for it AND raise the stock and supply to meet demand and it'll continue to rise in sales, no problem.

Errr the "play console level games on the go was the premisse of PSVita" so that premisse to justify Switch success is a little weak.

I never said anything about the Switch outselling the PS4's lifetime figures, I am still unsure if the Switch will reach 100 million, let alone 120 million. But the fact that the Switch is racking up these monthly victories in its first year, while dealing with stock shortages and supply issues AND during the PS4's peak year, says a lot to the potential of the Switch. 

And the difference between the Switch and Vita are:
A) Vita is a dedicated handheld, Switch is a hybrid and its method of playing games on the TV or on the go is much more simple and convenient. 

B) Switch is significantly more powerful than the Vita. The Vita could never run anything like Breath of the Wild. 

C) The Vita's $300 overpriced tag, losing Monster Hunter to the 3DS, the 3DS' existence, and the shrinkage of the dedicated handheld market were 4 fatal shots to the body. The Switch doesn't have to deal those problems because: 1) $300 for a system that can also act as a dedicated console is more than acceptable to the mainstream market. 2) While it doesn't have Monster Hunter, it still has Pokemon, Animal Crossing, and Mario, the former 2 being far bigger in Japan. 3) It will be the ONLY handheld like device going forward. 4) It creates a bridge between the handheld market and the console market to compensate.

D) Nintendo has the recognizable and popular IPs to pull it off. Pokemon alone sells 15 million units, which is more than the Vita has shipped at the moment.

E) Even though it is not a dedicated handheld, the Switch is still widely considered to be the successor of the 3DS, Nintendo just won't admit it because the 3DS is still selling well and they want to milk that system dry before putting it away for good. And seeing as how Nintendo has dominated handhelds similar to how Sony has dominated consoles, there was little doubt, at least amongst those who thought reasonably, that the Switch could sell very well. (Although not many people thought it would do THIS well, THIS quick out of the gate.)

F) The Switch's first year, in terms of software, is already far more impressive and far surpasses than anything the Vita ever did. Breath of the Wild, Mario Kart, Splatoon, and Odyssey, right there, and its not even November! What does the Vita have? Persona 4: Golden? I love Persona, but come on now. MineCraft? The game that's on everything? 

G) Switch will hae ALL of Nintendo's 1st Party Support behind it and full support going forward, whereas Sony put a half-assed effort from 2011-2013, and then stopped trying altogether in 2014 when they decided to shift all their focus to PS4.

The launches, hype, and momentum surrounding the Vita and Switch respectively, is night and day. 
The Vita is how you get it wrong.
The Switch is how you get it right.