| starcraft said: At the end of the day, Tombi's key assumptions seem to be thus: -Due to its massive sales, the Wii will get a tonne of quality JRPG's -Due to FFXIII, the PS3 will get a tonne of quality JRPG's. 1) Here is the problem with one: At the very least, the bulk of those JRPG's are 18 months away, and thats if third party devs decide they can sell them on the casual wii base. 2) Here is the problem with number two: This isn't the PS2. Devs are TERRIFIED of the PS3. Its not selling hardware fast and when SRPG's come out, they bomb. If Final Fantasy XIII spurs JRPG production for the PS3, those JRPG's are up too three years away. FFXIII won't be out for a year minimum in the West (hell probably not in Japan either). Then, IF FFXIII pushes consoles to JRPG fans devs might start to make quality JRPG's for the PS3 and they will be at least two years beyond THAT. 3) Look at it this way Tombi. You can pay $350 for a Pro now and play 10 great JRPG's in the next year. If you spend $400 on a PS3 right now, you can play WKS and MAYBE FFXIII in the next year. But if you buy the Pro and play all those other games, IF those JRPG's ever come to the PS3 (and lets face it, they won't be exclusive anyway, Microsoft's console sells enough JRPG's to warrant a quick port, even without moneyhatting) it will be when the PS3 is dirt cheap and you can pick it up on the fly. |
Those are my key assumptions. Thank you for actually answering the thread properly instead of shouting fanboy.
I disagree slightly with the problems you stated though.
1) So a JRPG takes 18 months to develop. But they are not 18 months away. It has been clear that the Wii will have the biggest user base in Japan for at least the last 9 months. I would think that there will be a massive amount of JRPG's announced for the Wii at E3 08 or TGS 08, for release this christmas or early next year.
2) If by SRPG bombing you mean Disgaea 3, it has already sold roughly 70% of Disgaea 2 lifetime sales. I don't think the developers would of expected much better than that. The other SRPG, Valkyria Chronicles has already outsold Disgaea 3, so can be considered a success for a SRPG.
My point was that if I was a JRPG developer, developing a JRPG for the PS3, I would look to release it a couple of months after FFXIII. Because FFXIII will bring a lot of JRPG fans to the PS3. I wouldn't have started development of the JRPG already.
3) If I had enough money I would buy a 360. But I only have enough money for the Wii and PS3. I chose the Wii and PS3 over the 360 because they have a lot more games coming out this generation to my tastes. I think somebody who can't afford all three consoles has to look at what is out now and what is coming out in the future, not just at what is out now.
By the way, I don't think the JRPG situation and the end of the generation will be:
Wii>>PS3>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>360
More like:
Wii>>>PS3>360
