August 2017 NPD Thread ! Switch Won

[TheBlackNaruto]

VideoGameAccountant said:

Shadow1980 said:

So far, the PS4 is trending ahead of 2015 in cumulative YTD sales:

Granted, that lead is only about 195k, and while that may grow a bit more by the end of October, it can easily be wiped out during the holidays. For the Sept.-Dec. period, the PS4 needs to sell over 3540k to beat 2015. For comparison, 2738k were sold in the same period in 2014, 3736k were sold in 2015, and 3200k were sold in 2016. Assuming the PS4 can stay at least 10% ahead of 2016, we could see 2017 at least match 2015 or come close to it. Slim bundles for $199 and Pro bundles for $349 during the holidays ought to do the trick. The PS4 ought to be up a good bit YoY for the year as a whole, and I don't think 2015's position as peak year in the U.S. is unassailable, that is unless we have a disappointing November again.

Looking over your data, I think it might be ahead because of titles released in the beginning of this year (Horizon, Crash, Tekken, Injustice, Ghost Recon). Looking at the latter half of this year, there doesn't seem to be as much as a lot of games were pushed into 2018. Outside of the usual suspects (sports games, CoD, Assassins Creed), doesn't look like much will be there to really drive sales. There is also the Loot Box fiasco which could hurt sales of all of these titles. 

I mentioned in another thread the issue between the data and Sony's shipments. Q1 shipments were down and they are expecting YoY decline. This could result in a weaker Q4 since the decline in selling to customers would lag sold to retailers. So Q4 sales could be down Year-over-year 

But hasn't this been the case every year? The usual suspects to push the end of the year? And the 2nd half of the year i s usually always stronger than the first....plus GT Sport....can't count that one out. So I am not so sure they will be down YoY I still feel this will be the peak year. Some good holiday bundles can be made and that should give them the sales they need.