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2 is good for "major" exclusives. That's essentially what we're getting this year with Zelda and Mario. There should be an additional 4-6 or so "notable" exclusives as well, i.e. Splatoon 2, Arms, Mario+Rabbids, Fire Emblem Warriors, Xenoblade 2. Toss in a couple HD remakes/enhanced ports like MK8D and Pokken DX. So in other words, they set the perfect blueprint this year for exclusives. If they can follow that through 2020, this system could end up a 100m lt seller. Though I have a feeling Animal Crossing will be the sole major exclusive for 2018, since I think Pokemon is going to end up a 2019 release. Unless we end up getting a 2d Mario next year, though I hope not honestly. Btw, I'm defining "major" by sales potential. So I wouldn't consider something like Prime 4 to be a major exclusive.