curl-6 said:
Nuvendil said:
FFXIV has considerable presence on consoles. And things can shift as well. I mean, Person 5 is doing way better than a console Persona game has ever done.
I honestly think the game could sell 2 to 2.5 million, the mainline games. X, if it is consistently similar to the first X, could sell 2.5 to 3.5 due to it's more mainsteam visual style and world strucutre. It's a matter of how they market it, highlighting the things that make it mainstream. It's fantasy, that's mainstream. It's big and epic, that's a huge thing now. It's open world, that's big. It has a lengthy storyline, which contrary to what some publishers think is still quite desired. Maybe the character design hampers things for Xenoblade 2, but then again Bethesda Game Studios has struggled with character models for ages and their games have exploded in popularity so that may not matter nearly as much as some think. And 2.5 is not, imo, all that big. It's a nice number but it's not like I'm saying it will do CoD numbers. I don't know if 2 will pull that, I kinda doubt it because you normally have to build popularity over multiple releases so it would be unusual to go from 980k to 2.5 million. But then let's not forget Fire Emblem Awakening, which took the franchise from life support to 2+ million. And that, imo, is a far more niche gameplay style. And it went full anime as well.
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FF14 has a massive brand name to push it though.
And Bethesda's titles appeal more directly to current Western tastes; namely, a bit more grit and "edge" than XB2 seems to offer, plus being more mechanically straightforward. If XB2 can hit 1.5 million that would be a victory in my book for a series that as yet has never broken the million mark.
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Those tastes were not established or noted really when Oblivion exploded onto the scene, doubling the sales of Morrowind. And Oblivion wasn't all that edgy really at all.
And as I said, a 1.5 million is what I expect. But I think that could be a stepping stone to 2 million and beyond as the series goes on, with mainline Xenoblade being a lower selling franchise probably than Xenoblade X.
