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STARLEZZ said:

I know Xenoblade has never been really popular in the mainstream. Spiritual Xeno games related to Xenoblade were more like sleeper hits
Xenogears (PS1) is at 1.7 million, a decent number , while Xenosaga Episode I (PS2) sold 1.6 million

Both Xenosaga II and III were flops, while Xenoblade Chronicles 1 (Wii) and Xenoblade Chronicles X (Wii U) were really limited in sales by external problems (With the first: Late localization, lack of advertising, late in Wii life cycle and limited copies;  X was born in a dead console with late localization) (both sold 0.9 million worldwide). Although this may be unsettling for the future of the franchise, Xenoblade Chronicles 2 is the decisive step, i think


Mi prediction: 450k FW, 1.5 million LT 

My reasons: Although trailers are kinda weak and i haven't seen a lot of advertising other than E3 and directs, localization will be inmediate , and it will launch in the holiday season. This means Nintendo is giving it the oportunity to shine.  Switch is being a hit, unlike Wii U and Wii at the time previous entries were released. And this prediction is considering Xenoblade Chronicles 2 is a solid game (hypothetical).

I think X2's sales potential is hindered by the "look" of the protagonists. It turns off even a jrpg veteran like me. It's nothing like Xenogears or even the very anime Xenosagas, they look out of place in a game like Xenoblade. They look like they belong in a mid tier 3DS rpg.