TheSource said:
Here is my guess on how this all plays out, electoral vote totals can be seen here: | State | Electoral | Obama | Mccain | Barr | Nader | Other | | California | 55 | 51.0% | 44.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | | Texas | 34 | 40.0% | 56.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | | New York | 31 | 52.0% | 46.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | | Florida | 27 | 47.8% | 49.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | | Illinois | 21 | 65.0% | 32.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | Pennsylvania | 21 | 44.0% | 46.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | | Ohio | 20 | 46.0% | 49.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | | Michigan | 17 | 48.0% | 46.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | | New Jersey | 15 | 53.0% | 44.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | | Georgia | 15 | 46.0% | 44.0% | 8.0% | 0.3% | 1.7% | | North Carolina | 15 | 46.0% | 50.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | | Virginia | 13 | 50.0% | 44.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | | Massachusetts | 12 | 51.0% | 47.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | | Washington | 11 | 55.0% | 35.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | | Tennesse | 11 | 38.0% | 55.0% | 6.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | | Misouri | 11 | 47.0% | 47.5% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | | Indiana | 11 | 48.0% | 49.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | | Minnesota | 10 | 54.0% | 42.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | | Wisconsin | 10 | 53.0% | 45.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | | Arizona | 10 | 38.0% | 59.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | | Maryland | 10 | 55.0% | 44.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | Colorado | 9 | 50.0% | 48.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | | Lousiaina | 9 | 45.0% | 48.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | | Alabama | 9 | 43.0% | 50.0% | 6.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | | Kentucky | 8 | 41.0% | 52.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | | South Carolina | 8 | 35.5% | 57.0% | 7.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | | Connecticut | 7 | 48.0% | 44.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | | Oregon | 7 | 52.0% | 40.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | | Iowa | 7 | 55.0% | 39.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | | Oklahoma | 7 | 45.0% | 51.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | | Kansas | 6 | 44.0% | 46.0% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | | Arkansas | 6 | 47.5% | 50.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | | Mississippi | 6 | 45.0% | 50.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | | Utah | 5 | 44.0% | 52.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | | Nevada | 5 | 43.0% | 44.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | | Nebraska | 5 | 47.0% | 50.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | | West Virginia | 5 | 36.0% | 56.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 3.0% | | New Mexico | 5 | 51.0% | 44.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 1.7% | | Idaho | 4 | 40.0% | 42.5% | 14.0% | 0.5% | 3.0% | | Hawaii | 4 | 54.0% | 42.0% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | | New Hampshire | 4 | 40.0% | 53.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | | Rhode Island | 4 | 53.0% | 41.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | | Maine | 4 | 50.5% | 40.5% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | | Vermont | 3 | 55.0% | 38.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | | DC | 3 | 69.0% | 21.0% | 8.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | | Alaska | 3 | 44.0% | 45.0% | 9.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | | Montana | 3 | 40.0% | 43.0% | 13.0% | 0.5% | 3.5% | | Wyoming | 3 | 34.0% | 55.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | | North Dakota | 3 | 44.0% | 49.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | South Dakota | 3 | 42.0% | 45.0% | 10.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | | Delaware | 3 | 52.0% | 45.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
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lol Going from predictions of software sales to a state-by-state breakdown of the US presidential election!
Funny.
TheSource, you really love to crunch numbers, don't you? :)
Anyway, I have not much knowledge about the preference of specific US regions and states but these elections are easy to predict.
Obama will win by a large margin. The popular vote will be 55-45% or something like that.
